The Power of the Unseen

And the awesomeness of overcoming survivorship bias.

Zander Nethercutt

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Distribution of bullet holes on planes returning from war in World War II.

During World War II, the American military enlisted the help of the Statistical Research Group (SRG) — a consortium of the best American statisticians in the world at the time — to analyze wartime data and make recommendations for how best to armor their planes. Since armor protects planes from gunfire but simultaneously weighs them…

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Zander Nethercutt

mistaking correlation for causation since '94; IYI, probably | 🧓Chicago, IL | ✍️. @ zandercutt.com | GET IN TOUCH: zander [at] zandercutt [dot] com